Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 9.700889 11.359853 13.172625 15.294698 17.704596 20.350030 23.467329
2025-11-16 6.599410 8.762995 11.382472 14.758804 18.963652 23.994002 30.429697
2025-11-23 4.757422 7.009775 9.973957 14.096925 19.609435 26.643599 36.202150
2025-11-30 3.938787 6.320736 9.674179 14.628056 21.625596 31.002709 44.331218
2025-12-07 3.349480 5.799421 9.459221 15.153942 23.581533 35.346082 52.699148
2025-12-14 2.703380 5.047562 8.759026 14.830831 24.222773 37.844946 58.638891
2025-12-21 2.184632 4.388447 8.077450 14.404179 24.600541 39.917273 64.036050
2025-12-28 1.970194 4.205891 8.123669 15.104910 26.732010 44.689719 73.665180
2026-01-04 1.757030 3.981670 8.057566 15.592353 28.538963 49.063455 82.942447
2026-01-11 1.517558 3.658237 7.763321 15.639394 29.601424 52.315968 90.658645
2026-01-18 1.314641 3.367332 7.482047 15.663260 30.602390 55.505722 98.431421
2026-01-25 1.097034 2.998744 6.994185 15.240541 30.768033 57.307653 104.039708
2026-02-01 0.901740 2.650824 6.521428 14.842170 31.036917 59.466453 110.671097
2026-02-08 0.736230 2.335822 6.071113 14.441866 31.287132 61.658762 117.601886
2026-02-15 0.585388 2.014921 5.547611 13.813592 31.027657 62.917582 123.000640
2026-02-22 0.529748 1.938635 5.569846 14.339537 33.062001 68.429642 136.150409
2026-03-01 0.480231 1.866615 5.589077 14.857253 35.118664 74.107801 149.908860
2026-03-08 0.397999 1.668892 5.259327 14.539733 35.421811 76.513088 157.876404
2026-03-15 0.325646 1.478054 4.908815 14.120336 35.457715 78.391215 164.958792
2026-03-22 0.304019 1.456979 5.013447 14.809211 37.941875 85.177758 181.562357
2026-03-29 0.277269 1.408727 5.033221 15.288450 40.000054 91.239017 197.091842
2026-04-05 0.240956 1.310710 4.890307 15.334701 41.085151 95.408471 209.200789
2026-04-12 0.209050 1.218457 4.746525 15.358166 42.114948 99.519212 221.393708